Postdiction involves explanation after the fact.In skepticism, it is considered an effect of hindsight bias that explains claimed predictions of significant events such as plane crashes and natural disasters. In religious contexts, theologians frequently refer to postdiction using the Latin term vaticinium ex eventu (foretelling after the event). Through this term, skeptics postulate that many biblical prophecies (and similar prophecies in other religions) appearing to have come true may have been written after the events supposedly predicted, or that the text or interpretation may have been modified after the event to fit the facts as they occurred.
| Attributes | Values |
|---|
| rdf:type
| |
| rdfs:label
| - نبؤة بعد الحدث (ar)
- Postdiction (en)
|
| rdfs:comment
| - حسب نقاد المعتقدات الخارقة للطبيعة فإن النبؤة بعد الحدث هي بسبب التحيز للاعتقاد بأن ما حدث متوقع بعد حدوثه، مما يشرح توقعات مدعاة لأحداث هامة مثل الكوارث الطبيعية وتحطم الطائرات. وحسب النقاد فإن نبؤات عدة أديان كتبت في الواقع بعد حدوثها أو أن النصوص أو تفسيرها عدلت لتتفق مع الوقائع التي حدثت. معطم التوقعات لشخصيات مثل يوحنا البطمسي ونوستراداموس مكتوبة بطريقة غامضة لجعل تفسيرها قبل الحدث شبه مستحيل مما يجعلها عديمة الفائدة لتوقع المستقبل. لكن بعد حدوث الوقائع يفسرها البعض باستخدام مركزين على التلميحات الصحيحة ومتجاهلين الأخطاء من أجل إعطاء مصداقية للنبؤة، أما التوقعات الخاطئة فتهمل. (ar)
- Postdiction involves explanation after the fact.In skepticism, it is considered an effect of hindsight bias that explains claimed predictions of significant events such as plane crashes and natural disasters. In religious contexts, theologians frequently refer to postdiction using the Latin term vaticinium ex eventu (foretelling after the event). Through this term, skeptics postulate that many biblical prophecies (and similar prophecies in other religions) appearing to have come true may have been written after the events supposedly predicted, or that the text or interpretation may have been modified after the event to fit the facts as they occurred. (en)
|
| dcterms:subject
| |
| Wikipage page ID
| |
| Wikipage revision ID
| |
| Link from a Wikipage to another Wikipage
| |
| Link from a Wikipage to an external page
| |
| sameAs
| |
| dbp:wikiPageUsesTemplate
| |
| post-text
| - Confusingly written. (en)
|
| date
| |
| has abstract
| - حسب نقاد المعتقدات الخارقة للطبيعة فإن النبؤة بعد الحدث هي بسبب التحيز للاعتقاد بأن ما حدث متوقع بعد حدوثه، مما يشرح توقعات مدعاة لأحداث هامة مثل الكوارث الطبيعية وتحطم الطائرات. وحسب النقاد فإن نبؤات عدة أديان كتبت في الواقع بعد حدوثها أو أن النصوص أو تفسيرها عدلت لتتفق مع الوقائع التي حدثت. معطم التوقعات لشخصيات مثل يوحنا البطمسي ونوستراداموس مكتوبة بطريقة غامضة لجعل تفسيرها قبل الحدث شبه مستحيل مما يجعلها عديمة الفائدة لتوقع المستقبل. لكن بعد حدوث الوقائع يفسرها البعض باستخدام مركزين على التلميحات الصحيحة ومتجاهلين الأخطاء من أجل إعطاء مصداقية للنبؤة، أما التوقعات الخاطئة فتهمل. (ar)
- Postdiction involves explanation after the fact.In skepticism, it is considered an effect of hindsight bias that explains claimed predictions of significant events such as plane crashes and natural disasters. In religious contexts, theologians frequently refer to postdiction using the Latin term vaticinium ex eventu (foretelling after the event). Through this term, skeptics postulate that many biblical prophecies (and similar prophecies in other religions) appearing to have come true may have been written after the events supposedly predicted, or that the text or interpretation may have been modified after the event to fit the facts as they occurred. Skeptics of premonition use these terms in response to claims made by psychics, astrologers and other paranormalists to have predicted an event, when the original prediction was vague, catch-all, or otherwise non-obvious. Most predictions from such figures as Nostradamus and James Van Praagh express the future with such seemingly deliberate vagueness and ambiguity as to make interpretation nearly impossible before the event, rendering them useless as predictive tools. After the event has occurred, however, the psychics or their supporters shoehorn details into the prediction by using selective thinking—emphasizing the "hits", ignoring the "misses"—in order to lend credence to the prophecy and to give the impression of an accurate "prediction". Inaccurate predictions are omitted. Supporters of a prediction sometimes contend that the problem lies not with the wording of the prediction, but with the interpretation—an argument sometimes used by supporters of religious texts. This argument may lead to the question: "What is the point of a prediction that cannot be interpreted correctly before the event?" However, the argument is not that the prediction could not have been interpreted correctly prior to the event, but simply that it was not in the case in question, thus the question is working from a false premise. Of course, any "prediction" that is so vague as to not be correctly interpreted before the event it allegedly "predicted" is functionally equivalent to no prediction at all. (en)
|
| gold:hypernym
| |
| prov:wasDerivedFrom
| |
| page length (characters) of wiki page
| |
| foaf:isPrimaryTopicOf
| |
| is rdfs:seeAlso
of | |
| is Link from a Wikipage to another Wikipage
of | |
![[RDF Data]](/fct/images/sw-rdf-blue.png)
![[cxml]](/fct/images/cxml_doc.png)
![[csv]](/fct/images/csv_doc.png)
![[text]](/fct/images/ntriples_doc.png)
![[turtle]](/fct/images/n3turtle_doc.png)
![[ld+json]](/fct/images/jsonld_doc.png)
![[rdf+json]](/fct/images/json_doc.png)
![[rdf+xml]](/fct/images/xml_doc.png)
![[atom+xml]](/fct/images/atom_doc.png)
![[html]](/fct/images/html_doc.png)